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May 28, 2026

By The Same Token: The bank rail stablecoins feared

By The Same Token

The Situation

Project Agorá has completed prototype trials showing that tokenized commercial bank deposits and tokenized central bank reserves can settle wholesale cross-border payments atomically across currencies on a shared platform (BIS via CoinDesk, PYMNTS). The BIS/IIF effort now moves toward real-money transaction testing, with the Bank of Canada set to join the next phase (Reuters, FStech).

The delta from yesterday’s Goldman/Bybit tokenization discussion is direct: the missing cash leg is no longer theoretical. Central banks are testing the wholesale settlement layer that lets tokenized deposits function as institutional payment instruments without relying on retail stablecoins or unsecured correspondent balances.

The Mechanism

  • Two-tier money stays intact. Agorá combines tokenized central bank reserves with tokenized commercial bank deposits. Central banks anchor finality; commercial banks keep client-facing money creation, screening, and liquidity management.
  • Atomic settlement compresses correspondent banking risk. Multi-currency payment legs can settle in one transaction step, reducing Herstatt-style timing gaps, reconciliation breaks, and trapped intraday liquidity.
  • This is wholesale plumbing, not retail CBDC. The model targets regulated financial institutions and central-bank money used for interbank settlement—not public wallets or consumer payment apps.
  • Shared platform changes counterparty topology. Instead of bilateral chains of correspondent banks, participants can coordinate payment, FX, compliance checks, and settlement state on common infrastructure.
  • Always-on settlement is the prize. The prototype points to 24/7 wholesale cross-border payments if central banks extend operating windows and liquidity tools to match the technology layer.
  • Bank deposits become programmable settlement assets. That matters for RWAs: tokenized Treasuries, funds, and collateral markets need a regulated cash instrument that can settle DvP/PvP inside the same workflow.

The State of Play

Market Position
Agorá is now the highest-signal central-bank tokenized-payment project because it brings the right counterparties into one venue: BIS, IIF, seven central banks, and more than 40 private financial institutions, including BBVA (BBVA). The competitive read-through is negative for standalone “crypto rails” narratives and positive for bank-controlled tokenized deposit networks. If this architecture works, banks do not need to outsource wholesale cross-border settlement to public stablecoin rails; they can tokenize their own liabilities and settle against central-bank money.

Regulatory Landscape
The project advances within existing supervisory logic: central-bank reserves for final settlement, commercial bank deposits for client money, and permissioned institutional participation. The important regulatory point is not a new statute; it is validation that tokenization can fit inside the current two-tier monetary system. China’s central bank and commercial banks are not participating, while Canada is joining the next phase, underscoring that this remains a coalition of major but not universal monetary authorities (Reuters).

Key Data

  • 7 central banks participated in the completed prototype phase; Bank of Canada is expected to join going forward.
  • 40+ private financial institutions participated alongside BIS and IIF.
  • 2 tokenized money instruments were tested together: commercial bank deposits and central bank reserves.
  • Atomic multi-currency settlement was demonstrated for wholesale cross-border payments.
  • The model targets around-the-clock settlement capability, subject to central-bank operating rules, liquidity provision, and compliance controls.

What's Next

The immediate catalyst is the shift from prototype to real-money testing. Watch for the transaction perimeter: currencies included, settlement accounts used, participant eligibility, liquidity arrangements, and whether compliance checks are embedded pre-settlement or handled through existing bank workflows. That design choice will determine whether Agorá becomes a true wholesale settlement rail—or remains a controlled proof point for central-bank tokenization.


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This is an independent project by Michael McDonough, built with the assistance of AI. Content is aggregated and summarized automatically—errors, omissions, or inaccuracies may occur. This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

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